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VATupdate Newsletter Week 36 2025

PROPHECY

On 1 April 1953, The Tacoma News Tribune ran a story about the “telephone of the future.” The article stated:

“In its final development, the telephone will be carried about by the individual, perhaps as we carry a watch today. It probably will require no dial or equivalent, and I think the users will be able to see each other, if they want to talk. Who knows but what it may actually translate from one language to another?”

Looking back from 2025, that prophecy was spot on. We carry our phones in our pockets (or on our wrists), we swipe and talk instead of dialing, video calls are routine, and AI translation is just a tap away. What was once speculation has become part of daily life.

VAT has its own “prophets.” Over the years, the EU legislator, the ECJ, national tax authorities — and more than a few advisors — have made predictions about how VAT rules would evolve. The 6th VAT Directive of 1977 imagined a simpler, more harmonised system. Later reforms promised a definitive VAT system. Today, the VAT in the Digital Age package (ViDA) is pitched as the next step toward a more modern, fraud-resistant, digital VAT landscape.

But unlike the telephone prophecy, VAT reforms don’t always land as neatly as expected. Predictions of “final systems” have a way of becoming interim solutions. Each new measure — real-time reporting, e-invoicing, platform rules — moves us closer to something more integrated, but the “end state” always seems just out of reach.

Still, the 1953 article is a reminder: what sounds speculative today may be tomorrow’s routine. Imagine, for instance, a world where VAT reporting is instantaneous and borderless, where AI translates your invoices into compliant formats for every jurisdiction, and where disputes are resolved in real time. Science fiction? Or just a matter of time?

Because if history has taught us anything, it’s this: the world got smartphones, but VAT is still trying to figure out the smart part.

At least you can make sure you’re always up to date on the latest VAT news worldwide at www.vatupdate.com

If you have any comments, questions, or ideas that you want to share with us, please send us an email at [email protected] or leave a comment under the posts of this newsletter on LinkedIn.


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