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Estonia’s VAT Increase Spurs Inflation, Hits Grocery Prices, and Boosts State Revenue Forecasts

  • VAT on goods and services increased from 22 percent to 24 percent
  • Shoppers feel the impact in grocery stores with rising prices and declining sales
  • Excise duty on gasoline increased by 5 percent
  • Food prices most affected due to weak sector performance
  • VAT hike expected to accelerate inflation
  • Average store prices expected to rise by 1.6 percent, with potential for higher increases
  • LHV Bank forecasts annual inflation of 6 percent
  • Bank of Estonia concerned about rapid price rise, expecting 5.4 percent inflation this year
  • Main drivers of price increases are food costs and tax hikes
  • VAT increase part of a national defense tax package by the coalition government
  • Expected to generate nearly €2.5 billion in additional tax revenue by 2028
  • Ministry of Finance forecasts significant revenue from VAT hike in coming years

Source: news.err.ee

Note that this post was (partially) written with the help of AI. It is always useful to review the original source material, and where needed to obtain (local) advice from a specialist.

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